I just wrote a blog on a study that indicates offshoring may be waning. I’m a bit skeptical. For one, there’s been plenty of money made in the last year by Indian outsourcing companies. They all posted pretty positive earnings. Secondly, outsourcing IT does make sense, especially since so many companies have been forced to trim, trim, trim and focus on core processes. But several months back, I did wonder whether political sway and the growing public sentiment against offshoring might not slow things down.
Well, David Rutchik makes a good case against political sway in this blog he wrote for Forbes. Rutchik, by the way, is a partner with outsourcing advisory firm Pace Harmon (Tim Taylor, an analyst with the firm, also contributed to the blog). Rutchik starts off noting that the offshore industry is doing well despite Congress’ efforts (in ways both rhetorical and legislative, he says) to stem offshoring. He points to Forrester Research’s estimate that this year, global business and government spending for IT outsourcing will top $254 billion. He also adds that the Indian portion of global IT outsourcing in 2010 was nearly $64 billion, according to Nasscom, the Indian outsourcing industry trade association.
Rutchik also talks about the H1- B and L-1 visas, and how technology companies are traditionally the largest users of such visas, with the Indian-based outsourcing providers topping the list. According to recent USCIS data, the three largest Indian outsourcing providers – Infosys Technologies, Wipro, and Tata Consultancy Services – were among the top recipients of H1-B visas. These three companies, all of which trade on the U.S. exchange as ADRs (American Depositary Receipts), together account for nearly 10,000 H1-B visas annually, Rutchik reports.
All these figures clearly got government nervous, and U.S. legislators tried to slow things down. There was increasing of visa fees as part of a bill to increase U.S.-Mexico border security. The provision that increased the fees ostensibly was included to raise $640 million a year to support U.S.-Mexico border security reinforcement efforts, but it was largely perceived by the Indian IT community as a means to discriminate against outsourcing firms.
The anti-offshoring movement was quite high during the mid-term election. Remember the American Jobs and Closing Tax Loopholes Act (H.R. 4213) and the Stop Outsourcing and Create American Jobs Act of 2010 (H.R. 5622)?.
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