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Video telepresence to be more prevalent, predicts Gartner

Subatra Suppiah | Jan. 21, 2009
Travel industry will lose out, says analyst firm in its top 10 predictions for 2009

Robin Simpson, research director at Gartner said organisations that postpone essential technology deployments do so at their peril.

SINGAPORE, 21 JANUARY 2009 - Current economic conditions are set to drive uptake of video telepresence in the next three years, with the travel industry losing out, according to Gartner. The analyst firm predicts that high-definition-based video meeting solutions will replace 2.1 million airline seats annually, costing the travel and hospitality industry US$3.5 billion per year. This is one of the firm's top 10 predictions for the year.

"The challenge of the current economic conditions demands that every organisation revisit the need for face-to-face meetings," said Gartner research director Robin Simpson.

Telepresence is not the answer in every circumstance and there will always be strong cultural and other reasons for face to face encounters, particularly here in Asia. But not every meeting needs to be face-to-face and there is no doubt that telepresence and other approaches to virtual collaboration such as Immersive Workspace, which is built on top of Second Life, or yet to be released solutions, will provide a real alternative for many businesses."

Cheaper mobile PCs

Gartner's remaining predictions in this year's top 10 are:

•    By 2012, 30 per cent of mobile PCs sold in the worldwide consumer market will be priced at less than US$300.

•    In 2012, the major PC vendors will recycle only one PC for every five they ship.

•    By 2012, successful enterprises will actively encourage and reward more failures in order to find the optimal approach they want more quickly.

•    By 2012, as many as one in three of the top 20 business process outsourcing providers will no longer exist.

•    By 2011, 30 per cent of consulting and systems integration revenue will be delivered via 'cloud computing'.

•    From 2009 to 2013, the server virtualisation software market will grow with a compound annual growth rate of 28 per cent, rising from US$1.8bn to US$6.2bn.

•    By year end 2013, 40 per cent of enterprise knowledge workers will have abandoned or removed their desk phone.

•    By the end of next year 2010, wireless operators will cease to offer unlimited (flat-rate) mobile data plans.

•    By year end 2012, physical sensors will create 20 per cent of non-video Internet traffic.


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