Zvakakanganiswa nezvakaitika kare geopolitical zviitiko, kugoverwa kwemafuta epasi rose kwakakanganiswa zvakanyanya. NeMuvhuro, mitengo yemafuta emafuta epasi rose yakatyora zvishoma $100 pabarrel mark, kurova hutsva hutsva mumakore anoda kusvika mana. Kunyangwe mitengo yakabva yadzokera kumashure, musika unotenda zvakanyanya izvo nekunetsana kuri kuitika neIran, pachine nzvimbo yakakosha yepamusoro yemitengo yemafuta.
Chikonzero chikuru chekusagadzikana kwemusika uyu kuri mukuvharika kwenzira dzakakosha dzekufambisa. Tichifunga kuti zvinenge 20% yemafuta emafuta epasi rose anoda kutakurwa nemuStrait of Hormuz, uye neIran ichityisidzira kurwisa ngarava dzinopfuura, Kurorwa nekuturunura oiri mudunhu kwasvika kwakamira. Dhata kubva kusimba rinobvunza simba kambani yeRapidan Energy Group inoratidza kuti chiyero chekukanganisa kwekupa uku kwakatopfuura zvakapetwa kaviri nhoroondo yakatarwa panguva 1956-1957 Suez Canal dambudziko.
Chiri kunyanya kunetsa ndechekuti nekuda kwenyika huru dziri kugadzira oiri, Saudi Arabia neUAE iri kunyura zvakanyanya mugeopolitical vortex, musika wepasi rose wemafuta asina kuchena “cushion”-Spare capacity-yakadzikira zvakanyanya. Bob McNally, Mutungamiri weRapidan Energy Group, akataura kuti izvi zvinoreva kuti musika parizvino hauna vharafu inoshanda yekuchengetedza, uye hapana “mugadziri we swing” inokwanisa kukurumidza kuzadza iyi gap rekupa.
Sezvo vagadziri vanomanikidzwa kucheka zvinobuda nekuda kweiyo inventory kuvaka-up, dzvinyiriro yekukwira kwemitengo yemafuta yakakurumidza kuendeswa kumugumo wevatengi. Mashoko anoratidza kuti U.S. peturu mitengo yakakwira nepamusoro 50 masendi pasvondo rapfuura, kusvika $3.48 pagaloni-nhanho inotopfuura iyo yepamusoro panguva yekutonga kwaTrump.
Nezvekuita kwemusika, U.S. WTI isina kuchena yakavharwa pa $94.77 padhiramu neMuvhuro, kumusoro 4.3%; nepo bhenji repasi rose Brent crude rakagara $98.96 yedhiramu, kuwedzera kwakanyanya kwe 6.8%.