Ichatshazelwe yimbali yezehlo zezopolitiko, Unikezelo lwe-oyile ekrwada kwihlabathi luchaphazeleke kakhulu. NgoMvulo, amaxabiso e-oyile ekrwada kumazwe ngamazwe aqhawuke ngokufutshane $100 ngophawu lomphanda, ukubetha inqanaba elitsha phantse kwiminyaka emine. Nangona amaxabiso sele erhoxile, Imarike ngokubanzi ikholelwa ukuba kunye nengxabano eqhubekayo ne-Iran, kusekho indawo eyonyukayo yamaxabiso eoli.
Esona sizathu siphambili sesi siphithiphithi semalike silele ekuvalelekeni kweendlela eziphambili zezothutho. Kunikwe ukuba malunga 20% I-oyile ekrwada yehlabathi kufuneka ihanjiswe ngeStrait of Hormuz, kunye ne-Iran isoyikisa ngokuhlasela iitanki ezidlulayo, umsebenzi wokuthuthwa kweoyile kunye nokothula kulo mmandla ume ngxi. Idatha evela kwi-firm consulting firm i-Rapidan Energy Group ibonisa ukuba isikali solu kuphazamiseka konikezelo olunokubakho sele lugqithise kabini irekhodi lembali elibekwe ngexesha 1956-1957 Suez Canal ingxaki.
Eyona nto ixhalabisayo kukuba ngenxa yamazwe avelisa ioli, ISaudi Arabia kunye ne-UAE zibandakanyeke ngokunzulu kwi-geopolitical vortex, imakethi ye-oyile ekrwada yehlabathi “umqamelo”-umthamo wespare-uncitshiswe kakhulu. UBob McNally, Umongameli weRapidan Energy Group, yachaza ukuba oku kuthetha ukuba imarike okwangoku ayinaso isivalo esisebenzayo sokhuseleko, kwaye akukho “umvelisi wejingi” ekwaziyo ukugcwalisa ngokukhawuleza lo msantsa wonikezelo.
Njengoko abavelisi benyanzelekile ukuba banciphise imveliso ngenxa yokwakhiwa kwe-inventri, uxinzelelo lokunyuka kwamaxabiso eoli luye lwathunyelwa ngokukhawuleza kubathengi. Idatha ibonisa ukuba i-U.S. amaxabiso epetroli onyuke malunga 50 iisenti kwiveki ephelileyo, ukufikelela $3.48 ngegaloni nganye-inqanaba elide lidlule kwincopho ngexesha lolawulo lweTrump.
Ngokubhekiselele ekusebenzeni kweemarike, I-U.S. I-WTI ekrwada ivaliwe $94.77 ngomphanda ngoMvulo, phezulu 4.3%; ngelixa i-benchmark ye-Brent crude yamazwe ngamazwe ihleli $98.96 ngomphanda, ukwanda ngokukhawuleza kwe 6.8%.